Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.