National League North | Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
2 - 1
Banbury

Taylor (20', 61' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Landers (9')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Banbury United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Kettering 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League North

Banbury United

All competitions
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-1 Banbury
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawBanbury United
28.21% (-0.744 -0.74)26.34% (0.153 0.15)45.45% (0.588 0.59)
Both teams to score 50.36% (-0.928 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.12% (-0.982 -0.98)53.88% (0.98 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-0.83 -0.83)75.33% (0.82900000000001 0.83)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (-1.088 -1.09)34.05% (1.085 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26% (-1.188 -1.19)70.73% (1.186 1.19)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)23.64% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.211 -0.21)57.73% (0.20699999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 28.21%
    Banbury United 45.44%
    Draw 26.33%
Spennymoor TownDrawBanbury United
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.37% (0.248 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.03% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 45.44%