Kidderminster4 - 1Spennymoor
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Spennymoor Town | 6 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Kidderminster Harriers | 6 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Alfreton Town | 6 | 4 | 9 |
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Scarborough Athletic | 6 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Spennymoor Town | 6 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Kidderminster Harriers | 6 | 1 | 10 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
Result | ||
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
63.93% ( -0.14) | 22.1% ( -0.09) | 13.96% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 42.55% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.35% ( 0.74) | 53.65% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.85% ( 0.62) | 75.14% ( -0.62) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.79% ( 0.21) | 16.21% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.3% ( 0.38) | 45.7% ( -0.38) |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.78% ( 0.8) | 49.22% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.89% ( 0.56) | 84.11% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
1-0 @ 14.51% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 13.2% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.73% Total : 63.92% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.1% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 13.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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