National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
2 - 0
Peterborough Sports

Freemantle (31'), Lowe (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Peterborough Sports.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 11.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Peterborough Sports win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawPeterborough Sports
68.88% (0.078000000000003 0.08)19.59% (0.058 0.06)11.53% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 43.07% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)49.04% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.535 -0.54)71.12% (0.53 0.53)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.158 -0.16)13.16% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (-0.316 -0.32)39.85% (0.311 0.31)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.59% (-0.621 -0.62)50.4% (0.616 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.06% (-0.427 -0.43)84.93% (0.42200000000001 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 68.88%
    Peterborough Sports 11.53%
    Draw 19.59%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawPeterborough Sports
2-0 @ 13.64% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 13.45% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.22% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.9% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 68.88%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.075 -0.07)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 19.59%
0-1 @ 4.55% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.56% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 11.53%