National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road

Peterborough Sports
3 - 2
Chester

Nicholson (8', 62'), Gash (29')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Thomas (45'), Weeks (55')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough Sports

Last Six:
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-1 Peterborough Sports
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North

Chester FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Hereford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawChester FC
52.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)24.27% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)23.17% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (0.094000000000001 0.09)49.36% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (0.085000000000001 0.09)71.41% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.26% (0.048999999999992 0.05)18.74% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.88% (0.085000000000001 0.09)50.12% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (0.040999999999997 0.04)35.86% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (0.042000000000002 0.04)72.63% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 52.55%
    Chester FC 23.17%
    Draw 24.27%
Peterborough SportsDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 52.55%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 23.17%