Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.