Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.