National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 1pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
1 - 1
Darlington

Thewlis (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Beck (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Darlington.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawDarlington
40.94% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)28.39% (0.038999999999998 0.04)30.67% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 45.71% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.6% (-0.14 -0.14)60.39% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.46% (-0.106 -0.11)80.53% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.97% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-0.111 -0.11)64.86% (0.107 0.11)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)35.64% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)72.41% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 40.94%
    Darlington 30.66%
    Draw 28.38%
Spennymoor TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 12.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 10.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 30.66%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Spennymoor
1-1
Darlington
Taylor (45+2' pen.)
Thompson (45+3')
Charman (14')
Charman (85')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2020 3pm