Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.