AFC Fylde
National League North | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
1 - 0
Southport

Haughton (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

Last Six:
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Fylde
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North

Southport

Last Six:
Last Game: Southport 0-0 Telford
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Southport had a probability of 14.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result
FyldeDrawSouthport
65.41% (0.101 0.1)20.11% (-0.159 -0.16)14.47% (0.06 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.74% (0.67599999999999 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.825 0.82)44.62% (-0.823 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02% (0.792 0.79)66.98% (-0.79100000000001 -0.79)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (0.282 0.28)12.83% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83% (0.57400000000001 0.57)39.17% (-0.572 -0.57)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.06% (0.594 0.59)42.94% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.76% (0.5 0.5)79.24% (-0.49799999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 65.41%
    Southport 14.47%
    Draw 20.11%
FyldeDrawSouthport
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.72% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.45% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.082 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.68% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 65.41%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20.11%
0-1 @ 4.66% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.04% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 14.47%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Southport
0-0
Fylde

Hatfield (38')
Aug 30, 2021 3pm
Fylde
2-1
Southport
Dobbie (26'), Piggott (54')
Tollitt (40')
Archer (22')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Southport
P-P
Fylde
Dec 28, 2020 3pm
Fylde
P-P
Southport