Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.