Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.