National League North | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 0
Curzon Ashton

De Girolamo (71' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 70.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 11.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawCurzon Ashton
70.71% (-1.111 -1.11)17.6% (0.397 0.4)11.68% (0.718 0.72)
Both teams to score 50.12% (1.102 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.12% (0.15499999999999 0.15)39.88% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.76% (0.159 0.16)62.24% (-0.155 -0.16)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.94% (-0.229 -0.23)10.06% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.83% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)33.17% (0.538 0.54)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.73% (1.366 1.37)44.27% (-1.362 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.66% (1.092 1.09)80.34% (-1.088 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 70.71%
    Curzon Ashton 11.68%
    Draw 17.6%
BuxtonDrawCurzon Ashton
2-0 @ 11.74% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 8.99% (-0.342 -0.34)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.16% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-1 @ 4.21% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.113 0.11)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.14 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.047 0.05)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 70.71%
1-1 @ 8.34% (0.172 0.17)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 17.6%
0-1 @ 3.63% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.4% (0.194 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.48% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.68%