Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.