Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.