National League North | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
New Bucks Head Ground
Chorley

Telford
1 - 0
Chorley

Green (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sampson (80')
Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

Last Six:
    Last Game: Telford 1-1 York City
    Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

    Chorley

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Chorley
      Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 22.17%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

      Result
      AFC Telford UnitedDrawChorley
      22.17% (0.42 0.42)26.41% (0.399 0.4)51.41% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)
      Both teams to score 44.85% (-0.577 -0.58)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      41.65% (-1.017 -1.02)58.35% (1.011 1.01)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      21.03% (-0.804 -0.8)78.96% (0.798 0.8)
      AFC Telford United Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      58.11% (-0.156 -0.16)41.89% (0.15 0.15)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      21.66% (-0.139 -0.14)78.34% (0.13199999999999 0.13)
      Chorley Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      77.17% (-0.788 -0.79)22.83% (0.783 0.78)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      43.45% (-1.175 -1.18)56.55% (1.171 1.17)
      Score Analysis
          AFC Telford United 22.17%
          Chorley 51.4%
          Draw 26.41%
      AFC Telford UnitedDrawChorley
      1-0 @ 8.32% (0.281 0.28)
      2-1 @ 5.35% (0.037 0.04)
      2-0 @ 3.62% (0.108 0.11)
      3-1 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
      3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
      3-0 @ 1.05% (0.027 0.03)
      Other @ 1.14%
      Total : 22.17%
      		1-1 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
      0-0 @ 9.56% (0.361 0.36)
      2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.066 -0.07)
      Other @ 0.61%
      Total : 26.41%
      		0-1 @ 14.12% (0.21 0.21)
      0-2 @ 10.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
      1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.112 -0.11)
      0-3 @ 5.14% (-0.165 -0.17)
      1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.163 -0.16)
      2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.079 -0.08)
      0-4 @ 1.9% (-0.107 -0.11)
      1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.1 -0.1)
      Other @ 2.68%
      Total : 51.4%

      Head to Head
      Apr 23, 2022 3pm
      Chorley
      1-0
      Telford
      Shenton (28')
      Aug 21, 2021 3pm
      Telford
      3-0
      Chorley
      Streete (60'), Durrell (71'), Byrne (90+6')
      Oswell (36')
      Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
      Chorley
      P-P
      Telford
      Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
      Telford
      0-1
      Chorley
      Newby (69')