National League North | Gameweek 5

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Latimer Park

Kettering
1 - 3
Alfreton

Bennett (20')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Southwell (8'), Hobson (61'), Denton (66')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Kettering Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Kettering Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
52.03% ( 0.2)	26.11% ( -0.08)	21.86% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 45.3% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.44% (

0.19)

57.56% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.66% (

0.15)

78.34% (

-0.15)

Kettering Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

0.17)

22.23% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

0.25)

55.65% (

-0.24)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.25% (

-0.01)

41.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78% (

-0.01)

78.22% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Kettering Town 52.02%

Alfreton Town 21.86%

Draw 26.11%

Kettering Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 13.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 52.02%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.86%