Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.