Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
AFC Telford United	Draw	Buxton
28.39% ( 0.78)	25.91% ( -0.36)	45.69% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 51.77% (

1.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.9% (

1.83)

52.1% (

-1.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17% (

1.56)

73.82% (

-1.56)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

1.58)

32.97% (

-1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

1.72)

69.55% (

-1.72)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

0.59)

22.76% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.55% (

0.86)

56.45% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

AFC Telford United 28.39%

Buxton 45.68%

Draw 25.91%

AFC Telford United	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.39%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.68%