Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 77.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 7.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.14%) and 3-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.