Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
4 - 3
Farsley Celtic

Sampson (10', 57'), Hall (55' pen.), Smith (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mulhern (25'), Ubaezuonu (31', 90+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Chorley
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Farsley Celtic

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Kettering
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 75.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 8.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 3-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawFarsley Celtic
75.92% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)15.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)8.47% (0.051 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.57% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (0.012 0.01)40.44% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.18% (0.013000000000005 0.01)62.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.03% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)8.96% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.42% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)30.57% (0.044 0.04)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.96% (0.131 0.13)51.04% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.63% (0.087999999999999 0.09)85.36% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 75.92%
    Farsley Celtic 8.47%
    Draw 15.61%
ChorleyDrawFarsley Celtic
2-0 @ 13.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 6.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.34%
5-0 @ 3.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 75.92%
1-1 @ 7.42% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.61%
0-1 @ 3.08% (0.01 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.5% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 8.47%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Farsley Celtic
3-3
Chorley
Spencer (8'), Hayhurst (33' pen.), Clayton (64')
Whitehouse (21'), Hall (30'), Blakeman (38')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Chorley
2-1
Farsley Celtic
Whitehouse (38'), Alli (88')
Turner (21')
May 3, 2021 3pm
Farsley Celtic
P-P
Chorley
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Chorley
3-2
Farsley Celtic
Owens (15'), Smith (77'), Hall (82')
Spencer (12', 44')