Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 2
Chester

Hall (51'), Sampson (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (16'), Stephenson (76')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Chester
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawChester FC
63.7% (-3.529 -3.53)20.41% (1.799 1.8)15.89% (1.73 1.73)
Both teams to score 52.21% (-1.93 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (-4.688 -4.69)43.09% (4.688 4.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-4.8 -4.8)65.49% (4.801 4.8)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.14% (-2.324 -2.32)12.85% (2.324 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.77% (-4.993 -4.99)39.22% (4.993 4.99)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (-0.602 -0.6)40.08% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-0.554 -0.55)76.73% (0.553 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 63.7%
    Chester FC 15.89%
    Draw 20.41%
ChorleyDrawChester FC
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.31 0.31)
1-0 @ 10.57% (1.213 1.21)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.124 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.41% (-0.488 -0.49)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.566 -0.57)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.644 -0.64)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.656 -0.66)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.314 -0.31)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.332 -0.33)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.442 -0.44)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.435 -0.44)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 63.7%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.966 0.97)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.995 1)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.846 0.85)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.376 0.38)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.358 0.36)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.89%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Chester
1-2
Chorley
Dackers (89' pen.)
Sampson (2', 27')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Chorley
4-1
Chester
Cardwell (8', 36'), Shenton (21'), Leather (51')
Cowan (45')
Glendon (80')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Chorley
P-P
Chester
Dec 28, 2020 3pm
Chester
1-2
Chorley
Dudley (35')
Shenton (24'), Hall (45+4' pen.)