National League North | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
1 - 4
Chorley

Crawford (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ustabasi (21', 71'), Hall (24'), Whitehouse (74')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Boston United	Draw	Chorley
29.67% ( 0.5)	27.34% ( 0.04)	42.99% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 48.25% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.01% (

0.05)

56.98% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.11% (

0.04)

77.88% (

-0.04)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42% (

0.41)

34.58% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7% (

0.43)

71.3% (

-0.43)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

-0.26)

26.25% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

-0.35)

61.36% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Boston United 29.67%

Chorley 42.99%

Draw 27.34%

Boston United	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.67%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.99%