National League North | Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deva Stadium
Chorley

Chester
1 - 2
Chorley

Dackers (89' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sampson (2', 27')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Chester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

Last Six:
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Chorley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawChorley
27.24%25.12%47.65%
Both teams to score 53.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46%49.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44%71.56%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48%32.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95%69.04%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18%20.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52%53.48%
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 27.24%
    Chorley 47.64%
    Draw 25.11%
Chester FCDrawChorley
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-1 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 27.24%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-2 @ 8.34%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 4.36%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.92%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.64%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Chorley
4-1
Chester
Cardwell (8', 36'), Shenton (21'), Leather (51')
Cowan (45')
Glendon (80')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Chorley
P-P
Chester
Dec 28, 2020 3pm
Chester
1-2
Chorley
Dudley (35')
Shenton (24'), Hall (45+4' pen.)