National League North | Gameweek 10

Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 0
Gloucester City

Shenton (51'), Whitehouse (53'), Hall (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

Last Six:

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 3-2 Chorley
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Gloucester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Gloucester City 3-0 Telford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Gloucester City
66.99% ( 9.82)	18.77% ( -3.9)	14.23% ( -5.92)

Both teams to score 53.74% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.98% (

7.13)

39.02% (

-7.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.66% (

7.11)

61.34% (

-7.11)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.24% (

5.13)

10.76% (

-5.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.25% (

10.38)

34.75% (

-10.39)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.22% (

-2.78)

39.77% (

2.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.55% (

-2.66)

76.44% (

2.66)

Score Analysis

Chorley 66.99%

Gloucester City 14.23%

Draw 18.77%

Chorley	Draw	Gloucester City
2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -1.27) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( 1.81) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( 1.22) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 1.6) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 1.27) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.35) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.93) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.49) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.79) Other @ 4.36% Total : 66.99%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( -1.95) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -1.6) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.77%	1-2 @ 4.06% ( -1.29) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -1.9) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -1.09) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.53) Other @ 1.77% Total : 14.23%