National League North | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium
Chorley

Scarborough Ath
3 - 2
Chorley

Weledji (55'), Coulson (58'), Maloney (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hall (71'), Ustabasi (90+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Chorley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawChorley
25.21% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)26.63% (0.045000000000002 0.05)48.16% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.28% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-0.19 -0.19)56.76% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (-0.152 -0.15)77.7% (0.154 0.15)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89% (-0.148 -0.15)38.11% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (-0.145 -0.15)74.87% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)23.62% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-0.113 -0.11)57.7% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 25.21%
    Chorley 48.15%
    Draw 26.63%
Scarborough AthleticDrawChorley
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.21%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 12.98% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 48.15%

rhs 2.0


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