Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Chorley

Alfreton
0 - 2
Chorley

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ustabasi (77'), Shenton (89')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Kettering 1-3 Alfreton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

Last Six:
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
27.83% (0.197 0.2)27.19% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)44.98% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.75% (0.245 0.24)57.24% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (0.194 0.19)78.09% (-0.197 -0.2)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.294 0.29)36.15% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (0.298 0.3)72.93% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)25.35% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (0.042000000000002 0.04)60.14% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 27.83%
    Chorley 44.97%
    Draw 27.18%
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.83%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 12.57% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.97%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Chorley
1-2
Alfreton
Blyth (27' pen.)
Ceesay (51'), Hobson (63')
Aug 30, 2021 3pm
Alfreton
0-1
Chorley
Alli (81')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Chorley
0-0
Alfreton
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Alfreton
1-1
Chorley
Rawson (24')
Hall (90+6' pen.)