National League North
Gameweek
6
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Jonathan Ustabasi
77'
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Ollie Shenton
89'
Alfreton Town vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result
Alfreton Town
27.83%
▲
(+0.20)
Draw
27.19%
▼
(-0.05)
Chorley
44.98%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
47.66%
▲
(+0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.75%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
57.24%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 3.5
21.91%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 3.5
78.09%
▼
(-0.20)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
63.84%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 0.5
36.15%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 1.5
27.06%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 1.5
72.93%
▼
(-0.31)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
74.64%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
25.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
39.85%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
60.14%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Alfreton Town
27.83%
Draw
27.18%
Chorley
44.97%
Alfreton Town
1-0
@
9.33%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.83%
2-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.83%
Draw
1-1
@
12.79%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.18%
0-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.18%
Chorley
0-1
@
12.57%
▼
(-0.11)
1-2 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.97%
1-2 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.97%