National League North | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Throstle Nest

Farsley Celtic
2 - 4
Scarborough Ath

Butler (46'), Clayton (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Weledji (12'), Jarvis (26'), Tear (53'), Colville (62')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farsley Celtic

Last Six:
Last Game: Darlington 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North

Scarborough Athletic

Last Six:
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-2 Scarborough Ath
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawScarborough Athletic
32.2% (0.121 0.12)27.29% (-0.203 -0.2)40.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.37% (0.64 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (0.79000000000001 0.79)56.03% (-0.794 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (0.636 0.64)77.11% (-0.64 -0.64)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (0.48899999999999 0.49)32.25% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (0.553 0.55)68.74% (-0.55600000000001 -0.56)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (0.416 0.42)27.14% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.47% (0.538 0.54)62.53% (-0.544 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 32.2%
    Scarborough Athletic 40.5%
    Draw 27.29%
Farsley CelticDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.2%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.271 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.5%