Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.