National League North Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Aggborough Stadium
  • Caleb Richards 25' goal

Kidderminster Harriers vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Kidderminster 0 - 2 Southport
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Ashley Hemmings

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
P'boro Sports 0 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Connor Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.

Result

Kidderminster Harriers 49.78% (-1.60)
Draw 27.22% (+1.00)
Chorley 22.99% (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.64% (-1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.61% (-2.86)
Under 2.5 60.39% (+2.86)
Over 3.5 19.46% (-2.22)
Under 3.5 80.54% (+2.22)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5 75.55% (-1.96)
Under 0.5 24.45% (+1.96)
Over 1.5 41.11% (-2.84)
Under 1.5 58.89% (+2.84)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 57.76% (-1.04)
Under 0.5 42.24% (+1.04)
Over 1.5 21.36% (-0.91)
Under 1.5 78.64% (+0.91)

Score analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 49.77%
Draw 27.21%
Chorley 22.99%
Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 14.54% (+0.72)
2-0 @ 10.24% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.32)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.32)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.41)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.23)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.22)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.24)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 49.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% (+0.27)
0-0 @ 10.32% (+1.06)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.26)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.21%
Chorley
0-1 @ 8.9% (+0.69)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.84% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.1% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 22.99%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 33
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lewis Montrose 68' goal
  • goal Willem Tomlinson 77'
National League North Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Hall 81' goal
  • redcard Geraldo Bajrami 51'
  • goal Ashley Hemmings 58'
National League North Gameweek 25
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Omari Sterling-James 39'
  • goal Omari Sterling-James 45'+1'