National League North Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Connor Kirby 46' goal
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 68'

Buxton vs Kidderminster Harriers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Buxton 0 - 0 Chester
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Diego De Girolamo

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Kettering 0 - 3 Kidderminster
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Ashley Hemmings

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 47.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Buxton 47.13% (-4.31)
Draw 26.58% (+1.42)
Kidderminster Harriers 26.28% (+2.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.27% (-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.09% (-3.15)
Under 2.5 55.91% (+3.16)
Over 3.5 22.98% (-2.63)
Under 3.5 77.02% (+2.64)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 76.28% (-3.21)
Under 0.5 23.73% (+3.22)
Over 1.5 42.14% (-4.85)
Under 1.5 57.86% (+4.85)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5 63.29% (+0.85)
Under 0.5 36.71% (-0.84)
Over 1.5 26.5% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 73.5% (-0.83)

Score analysis

Buxton 47.13%
Draw 26.58%
Kidderminster Harriers 26.28%
Buxton
1-0 @ 12.53% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.44)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.66)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.67)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.78)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.28)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.43)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.47)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 47.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (+0.61)
0-0 @ 8.71% (+1.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.58%
Kidderminster Harriers
0-1 @ 8.73% (+1.19)
1-2 @ 6.29% (+0.44)
0-2 @ 4.37% (+0.68)
1-3 @ 2.1% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (+0.26)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.28%