Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 47.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.