Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.