Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.