National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Bailey Hobson 7' goal
  • goal Ryan McLean 24'

Alfreton Town vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2022 3.00pm
Alfreton 0 - 2 Chorley
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2022 3.00pm
Hereford 1 - 3 Gloucester City
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Tyrone Barnett

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 37.02% (-0.24)
Draw 25.65% (-0.31)
Hereford United 37.33% (+0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.45% (+1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.38% (+1.37)
Under 2.5 48.62% (-1.37)
Over 3.5 29.26% (+1.24)
Under 3.5 70.74% (-1.24)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.38% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 25.62% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 39.5% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 60.5% (-0.69)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 74.55% (+0.94)
Under 0.5 25.45% (-0.94)
Over 1.5 39.73% (+1.28)
Under 1.5 60.27% (-1.28)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 37.02%
Draw 25.65%
Hereford United 37.33%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.38)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.76% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.28% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 37.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.38)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
Hereford United
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 8.31% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.79% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.79% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.58% (+0.14)
1-4 @ 1.3% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 37.33%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 35
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ryan Lloyd 80' goal
  • goal Bailey Hobson 20'
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 45'+2'
National League North Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Bailey Hobson 3' goal
  • Rob Evans 42' goal
  • Elliott Reeves 79' goal
  • goal Miles Storey 40'
  • goal Miles Storey 62'
  • goal Luke Haines 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 39
May 8, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 18
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm