Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor Town	Draw	Southport
48.07% ( -0.02)	25.27% ( 0.06)	26.65% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.41% (

-0.27)

50.58% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.5% (

-0.24)

72.5% (

0.24)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

-0.12)

21.06% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.13% (

-0.18)

53.87% (

0.18)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

-0.18)

33.53% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82% (

-0.2)

70.17% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Spennymoor Town 48.07%

Southport 26.65%

Draw 25.27%

Spennymoor Town	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 48.07%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.65%