Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.