National League North | Gameweek 10
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
1 - 0
Leamington

Watson (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 1-0 Southport
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-0 Kettering
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southport in this match.

Result
SouthportDrawLeamington FC
40.38% (0.034999999999997 0.03)28.77%30.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.75% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)61.61% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)81.45% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.89% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01% (0.013000000000005 0.01)65.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)36.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)72.95% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Southport 40.37%
    Leamington FC 30.84%
    Draw 28.76%
SouthportDrawLeamington FC
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 30.84%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2022 7.45pm
Southport
1-1
Leamington
Tharme (45+2')
Turner (90+3' pen.)
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Leamington
1-1
Southport
Kelly-Evans (9')
Carver (35')
May 15, 2021 3pm
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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