National League North | Gameweek 8
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue
Chorley

Southport
2 - 1
Chorley

Archer (74', 79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ustabasi (28')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Southport 1-4 Buxton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 4-3 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawChorley
28.34% (0.565 0.57)26.9% (0.262 0.26)44.75% (-0.829 -0.83)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.411 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (-0.704 -0.7)55.97% (0.702 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93% (-0.575 -0.57)77.06% (0.574 0.57)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (0.070999999999998 0.07)35.06% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.077000000000002 0.08)71.81% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.717 -0.72)24.89% (0.715 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-1.006 -1.01)59.51% (1.006 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Southport 28.34%
    Chorley 44.75%
    Draw 26.91%
SouthportDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.262 0.26)
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 28.34%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.73% (0.234 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.44% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.75%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Chorley
2-1
Southport
Shenton (59', 90+2')
Archer (8')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Southport
0-0
Chorley
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Chorley
P-P
Southport
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Southport
1-0
Chorley
Vassallo (29')