National League North | Gameweek 31

Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 1
Southport

Shenton (59', 90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Archer (8')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

Last Six:

Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Chorley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Kidderminster Harriers	41	36	71
5	Chorley	41	15	65
6	York City	41	8	65

Southport

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-5 Southport
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Hereford United	41	0	55
12	Southport	41	0	54
13	Darlington	41	0	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Southport had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Southport
62.38%	20.77%	16.85%

Both teams to score 53.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1%

42.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.69%

65.3%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.82%

13.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.11%

39.89%

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23%

38.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5%

75.5%

Score Analysis

Chorley 62.37%

Southport 16.85%

Draw 20.77%

Chorley	Draw	Southport
2-0 @ 10.49% 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 6.72% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.17% Total : 62.37%	1-1 @ 9.81% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.77%	0-1 @ 4.84% 1-2 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.49% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.11% Total : 16.85%