National League North Gameweek 3
Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dylan Vassallo 29' goal

Southport vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Southport 0 - 0 Hereford
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Markus Carver

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
Chorley 1 - 2 Gloucester City
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Connor Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result

Southport 47.48%
Draw 23.86%
Chorley 28.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.66%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.85%
Under 2.5 43.14%
Over 3.5 34.45%
Under 3.5 65.54%

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 81.65%
Under 0.5 18.34%
Over 1.5 50.55%
Under 1.5 49.44%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 71.84%
Under 0.5 28.16%
Over 1.5 36.15%
Under 1.5 63.84%

Score analysis

Southport 47.48%
Draw 23.86%
Chorley 28.65%
Southport
2-1 @ 9.41%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 47.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.86%
Chorley
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-1 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 28.65%