National League North Gameweek 1
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Bootham Crescent
  • Paddy McLaughlin 12' goal
  • Scott Barrow 49' goal
  • Michael Woods 83' goal
  • goal Lewis Reily 90'+4'

York City vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jul 25, 2020 3.00pm
York City 0 - 2 Altrincham
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Sean Newton

Chorley

All competitions
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Connor Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result

York City 52.7%
Draw 23.59%
Chorley 23.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.06%
Under 2.5 45.94%
Over 3.5 31.75%
Under 3.5 68.25%

York City Goals

Over 0.5 82.6%
Under 0.5 17.4%
Over 1.5 52.17%
Under 1.5 47.83%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 66.51%
Under 0.5 33.49%
Over 1.5 29.88%
Under 1.5 70.12%

Score analysis

York City 52.7%
Draw 23.58%
Chorley 23.71%
York City
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.48%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 52.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.58%
Chorley
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 23.71%