National League North | Gameweek 1
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Chorley

York City
3 - 1
Chorley

McLaughlin (12'), Barrow (49'), Woods (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reily (90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between York City and Chorley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York CityDrawChorley
52.7%23.59%23.71%
Both teams to score 54.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.06%45.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75%68.25%
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6%17.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.17%47.83%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51%33.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88%70.12%
Score Analysis
    York City 52.7%
    Chorley 23.71%
    Draw 23.58%
York CityDrawChorley
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.48%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 52.7%
1-1 @ 11.14%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 23.71%