National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
1 - 4
Buxton

Watson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kirby (45+3'), De Girolamo (62'), Osborne (74'), Gilchrist (90+4')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-1 Southport
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Darlington
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawBuxton
44.35% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)26.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.62% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.95% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (0.0039999999999978 0)73.69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.32% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)57.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.98% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)68.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Southport 44.35%
    Buxton 29.62%
    Draw 26.02%
SouthportDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.35%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.62%

rhs 2.0


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