National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 1
Darlington

Brisley (11'), Boden (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sukar (86')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Buxton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-0 Darlington
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawDarlington
50.87% (5.026 5.03)25.86% (-1.236 -1.24)23.27% (-3.788 -3.79)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.141 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (1.866 1.87)55.46% (-1.864 -1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (1.507 1.51)76.65% (-1.504 -1.5)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (3.111 3.11)21.86% (-3.11 -3.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (4.521 4.52)55.09% (-4.518 -4.52)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-2.331 -2.33)39.17% (2.335 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-2.259 -2.26)75.89% (2.261 2.26)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 50.86%
    Darlington 23.27%
    Draw 25.86%
BuxtonDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 13.01% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 9.9% (1.044 1.04)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.435 0.44)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.922 0.92)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.613 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.162 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.487 0.49)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.369 0.37)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.54 -0.54)
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.636 -0.64)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-1.16 -1.16)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.646 -0.65)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.826 -0.83)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.332 -0.33)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.351 -0.35)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 23.27%

rhs 2.0


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