Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Darlington in this match.