National League North | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
3 - 2
Boston

Beck (51'), Hazel (56'), Lawlor (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pollock (20' pen., 90')
Mbeka (44')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Boston United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawBoston United
38.51% (-0.322 -0.32)27.62% (-0.21 -0.21)33.87% (0.54 0.54)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.726 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (0.863 0.86)56.96% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (0.688 0.69)77.87% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.232 0.23)28.71% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.287 0.29)64.53% (-0.279 -0.28)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (0.804 0.8)31.59% (-0.795 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (0.912 0.91)67.99% (-0.904 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 38.51%
    Boston United 33.87%
    Draw 27.62%
DarlingtonDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 38.51%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.302 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.87%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Darlington
2-1
Boston
Wheater (5'), Lambert (22')
Elliott (60' pen.)
Shiels (79')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm