Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Darlington in this match.