National League North Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Callum Stead 23' goal
  • Callum Stead 85' goal

Brackley Town vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
Darlington 2 - 2 Brackley Town
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Callum Stead

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
Spennymoor 0 - 1 Buxton
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Diego De Girolamo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result

Brackley Town 40.57% (-0.01)
Draw 28.74%
Buxton 30.68% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.75% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.41% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 61.58% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 18.57%
Under 3.5 81.42% (-0.01)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.23% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.76% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.16% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.83% (+0.01)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 63.71% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.28% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.93% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73.06% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Brackley Town 40.57%
Draw 28.73%
Buxton 30.67%
Brackley Town
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 40.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.73%
Buxton
0-1 @ 10.94%
1-2 @ 6.73% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.67%