Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.