Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.