National League North | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The Silverlands
Bradford Park Avenue

Buxton
2 - 3
Bradford Park Av

Osborne (13'), Tasdemir (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Longbottom (29'), Johnson (90+2'), Blyth (90+4')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Bradford Park Avenue.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-1 Boston
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawBradford Park Avenue
62.21% (-0.64 -0.64)22.5% (0.495 0.5)15.29% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 44.44% (-1.078 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (-1.646 -1.65)52.81% (1.645 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-1.423 -1.42)74.44% (1.422 1.42)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (-0.779 -0.78)16.5% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-1.425 -1.43)46.23% (1.423 1.42)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.22% (-0.789 -0.79)46.77% (0.789 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.68% (-0.606 -0.61)82.32% (0.60600000000001 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 62.19%
    Bradford Park Avenue 15.29%
    Draw 22.5%
BuxtonDrawBradford Park Avenue
1-0 @ 13.9% (0.53 0.53)
2-0 @ 12.52% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.52% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-0 @ 3.39% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.131 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 62.19%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.489 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.248 0.25)
1-2 @ 4.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 15.29%