FA Cup
Nov 27, 2022 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Portman Road Stadium
  • Conor Chaplin 33' goal
  • Gassan Ahadme 38' goal
  • Conor Chaplin 73' goal
  • Kayden Jackson 90'+2' goal

Ipswich Town vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Buxton

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 82.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 5.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.7%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result

Ipswich Town 82.42% (+0.19)
Draw 12.25% (-0.07)
Buxton 5.32% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.42% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.79% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 37.2% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 40.59% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 59.41% (+0.33)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 93.2% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 6.8% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 74.91% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.08% (+0.08)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 42.3% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 57.7% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 10.57% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 89.43% (+0.36)

Score analysis

Ipswich Town 82.4%
Draw 12.26%
Buxton 5.32%
Ipswich Town
2-0 @ 14.17% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 12.7% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 10.54% (+0.14)
4-0 @ 8.54% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 4.7% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 4.59% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.04)
6-0 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 82.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.8% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.92% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 2.14% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 12.26%
Buxton
0-1 @ 2.16% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 1.6% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 5.32%