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FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
4 - 0
Buxton

Chaplin (33', 73'), Ahadme (38'), Jackson (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Buxton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Buxton

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 82.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 5.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.7%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBuxton
82.42% (0.18000000000001 0.18)12.25% (-0.06 -0.06)5.32% (-0.1209 -0.12)
Both teams to score 39.42% (-0.598 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (-0.305 -0.31)37.2% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59% (-0.33 -0.33)59.41% (0.33 0.33)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.2% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)6.8% (0.0261 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.91% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)25.08% (0.07 0.07)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.3% (-0.63 -0.63)57.7% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.57% (-0.352 -0.35)89.43% (0.351 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 82.4%
    Buxton 5.32%
    Draw 12.26%
Ipswich TownDrawBuxton
2-0 @ 14.17% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 12.7% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 8.54% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.7% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 4.59% (0.035 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 82.4%
1-1 @ 5.8% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 12.26%
0-1 @ 2.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.6% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 5.32%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Buxton

Ipswich Town
82.6%
Draw
8.7%
Buxton
8.7%
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