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Ipswich logo
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
4 - 0
Buxton

Chaplin (33', 73'), Ahadme (38'), Jackson (90+2')
Davis (27'), Chirewa (49'), Morsy (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brisley (23'), McKay (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Buxton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

We said: Ipswich Town 3-0 Buxton

Ipswich Town will likely rotate their squad for Sunday's contest, but they should still have more than enough to cruise past their visitors and advance to the third round. Buxton will arrive looking to cause an upset, but McKenna's men will likely contain the National League North side and force plenty of chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 82.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 5.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.7%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBuxton
82.42% (0.18000000000001 0.18) 12.25% (-0.06 -0.06) 5.32% (-0.1209 -0.12)
Both teams to score 39.42% (-0.598 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (-0.305 -0.31)37.2% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59% (-0.33 -0.33)59.41% (0.33 0.33)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.2% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)6.8% (0.0261 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.91% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)25.08% (0.07 0.07)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.3% (-0.63 -0.63)57.7% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.57% (-0.352 -0.35)89.43% (0.351 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 82.4%
    Buxton 5.32%
    Draw 12.26%
Ipswich TownDrawBuxton
2-0 @ 14.17% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 12.7% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 8.54% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.7% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 4.59% (0.035 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 82.4%
1-1 @ 5.8% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 12.26%
0-1 @ 2.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.6% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 5.32%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Buxton

Ipswich Town
82.6%
Draw
8.7%
Buxton
8.7%
23
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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