League One Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Freddie Ladapo 11'
  • goal Marcus Harness 68'

Exeter City vs Ipswich Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Exeter 3 - 2 Peterborough
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Ipswich 1 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
101
Top scorer
Conor Chaplin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result

Exeter City 26.8%
Draw 24.13% (+0.01)
Ipswich Town 49.08%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.4% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.6%
Over 3.5 32.07% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.93%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 69.21% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.79%
Over 1.5 32.94% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.05%

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 81.34% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.66%
Over 1.5 50.01% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.99%

Score analysis

Exeter City 26.8%
Draw 24.12%
Ipswich Town 49.08%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 6.77%
2-1 @ 6.69%
2-0 @ 3.99%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.12%
Ipswich Town
0-1 @ 9.64%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-2 @ 8.1%
1-3 @ 5.34%
0-3 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 3.14%
1-4 @ 2.24%
0-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.08%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Jan 4, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Jay 35' yellowcard
  • Nicky Ajose 45' goal
  • Lee Martin 93' goal
  • yellowcard Will Keane 41'
  • goal Will Keane 57'
  • yellowcard Luke Woolfenden 60'
  • yellowcard Aristote Nsiala 91'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Jan 4, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT St James Park (Exeter, Devon)
  • Matt Jay 35' yellowcard
  • Nicky Ajose 45' goal
  • yellowcard Will Keane 41'
  • goal Will Keane 57'
  • yellowcard Luke Woolfenden 60'
  • yellowcard Aristote Nsiala 90'
EFL Cup
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Troy Brown 64' goal
  • Jake Taylor 67' yellowcard
  • goal Kayden Jackson 37'
  • yellowcard Jonas Knudsen 82'
  • yellowcard Aristote Nsiala 83'