We said: Exeter City 1-2 Ipswich Town
With the visitors having failed to win in two matches, Exeter will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at the weekend. However, possessing the best away record in the division, we have to back Ipswich to edge this contest, potentially with a late goal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.