Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 26.8% | 24.13% ( | 49.08% |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% ( | 45.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% ( | 67.93% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( | 30.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.94% ( | 67.05% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( | 18.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.01% ( | 49.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.77% 2-1 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.8% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 5.75% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.08% |