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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
40.1% ( 1.36) | 26.42% ( -0.01) | 33.48% ( -1.34) |
Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.7% ( -0.16) | 52.3% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.01% ( -0.14) | 73.99% ( 0.14) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( 0.66) | 25.63% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% ( 0.9) | 60.52% ( -0.89) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% ( -0.93) | 29.51% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% ( -1.15) | 65.52% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |