/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fchalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
-
Miles Leaburn
20'
-
Alex Hartridge
24'
-
Chuks Aneke
84'
-
Jack Payne
90'+1'
-
Jay Stansfield
37'
-
Sam Nombe
90'+5'
Charlton Athletic vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fjoe-wollacott.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result
Charlton Athletic
40.1%
▲
(+1.36)
Draw
26.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Exeter City
33.48%
▼
(-1.35)
Both Teams to Score:
52.42%
▼
(-0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.7%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
52.3%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
26.01%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
73.99%
▲
(+0.15)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5
74.37%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 0.5
25.63%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 1.5
39.48%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 1.5
60.52%
▼
(-0.90)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
70.49%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 0.5
29.51%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 1.5
34.47%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 1.5
65.52%
▲
(+1.16)
Score analysis
Charlton Athletic
40.09%
Draw
26.41%
Exeter City
33.48%
Charlton Athletic
1-0
@
10.29%
▲
(+0.26)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-98.62)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.09%
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-98.62)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.09%
Draw
1-1
@
12.56%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.41%
0-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.41%
Exeter City
0-1
@
9.23%
▼
(-0.18)
1-2 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 33.48%
1-2 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 33.48%
Andrew Crofts
82'