Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.