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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bristol Rovers

Exeter
2 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
60.15% (1.234 1.23)22.14% (-0.301 -0.3)17.71% (-0.934 -0.93)
Both teams to score 50.45% (-0.771 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.149 -0.15)47.4% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (-0.138 -0.14)69.61% (0.136 0.14)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (0.35499999999999 0.35)15.34% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.91% (0.666 0.67)44.09% (-0.668 -0.67)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-1.168 -1.17)40.41% (1.166 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-1.071 -1.07)77.02% (1.069 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 60.13%
    Bristol Rovers 17.71%
    Draw 22.13%
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 10.89% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.288 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.173 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.079 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2%
Total : 17.71%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-1
Exeter
Bodin (13'), Brown (45'), Taylor (69')
Lockyer (72'), Brown (78')
Taylor (48')
Brown (45'), Stockley (73')