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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 60.15% ( | 22.14% ( | 17.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( | 47.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% ( | 69.61% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( | 15.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.91% ( | 44.09% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.59% ( | 40.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.97% ( | 77.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 60.13% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.13% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0-2 @ 2.54% ( 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 2-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2% Total : 17.71% |