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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cheltenham Town

Exeter
0 - 1
Cheltenham

FT(HT: 0-0)
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCheltenham Town
58.77% (-1.085 -1.09)23.03% (0.725 0.73)18.2% (0.361 0.36)
Both teams to score 48.59% (-1.547 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-2.415 -2.42)50.34% (2.416 2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-2.181 -2.18)72.29% (2.185 2.19)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (-1.207 -1.21)16.82% (1.209 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (-2.199 -2.2)46.8% (2.2 2.2)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.42% (-0.997 -1)41.58% (1 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.93% (-0.889 -0.89)78.07% (0.893 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 58.76%
    Cheltenham Town 18.2%
    Draw 23.03%
Exeter CityDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.46% (0.7 0.7)
2-0 @ 11.11% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.305 -0.31)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.144 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 58.76%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.659 0.66)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.424 0.42)
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.2%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cheltenham

Exeter City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham

Taylor (81')
Williams (90+1')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
5-3
Exeter
Sercombe (7', 45+3' pen.), May (13'), Williams (77'), Boyle (90+1')
Blair (40'), May (47')
Collins (4'), Jay (56'), Law (88')
Sweeney (45+3')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
P-P
Exeter